Kalshi · 15-minute markets
Kalshi profit calculator
Plug in your strategy: the price you usually pay, your win rate and how often you trade. See what it's worth after fees per trade, per day and per month, how many wins one loss erases, and the losing streak to expect.
- Break-even win rate
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- Your edge
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- Expected per trade
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- Expected per day
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- Wins to cover one loss
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- Fees per 30 days
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- Typical worst losing streak (30 days)
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- Cost of that streak
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How much your win rate matters
Same price, size and trade count, at different win rates. Your win rate is highlighted.
| Win rate | Per trade | Per day | Per 30 days |
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Read this before you trust the number
This is arithmetic on your own inputs, not a prediction. A win rate measured over a few dozen trades can be far from the real one, and at high prices a small miss turns a positive result negative. Look at how fast the table changes from row to row.
The "typical worst losing streak" is a rough estimate of the longest run of losses to expect over 30 days of trades if each trade is independent. Real markets cluster, so streaks can be longer. Fee details: Kalshi fee calculator and break-even calculator.
DeskBot posts every live trade in public, fees included, so you can check a real win rate instead of guessing one. $19.99/mo, cancel anytime.
See DeskBot for KalshiFor education only. Not financial advice. Trading can lose money; past or assumed win rates do not guarantee future results. DeskBot is independent software, not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi. Fee rates can change.